Financial Insight

Fed prime rate could go to .25%
December 16th, 2008 10:52 AM

Today mortgage rates are at 5% and falling, finally something good is happening, do you really want to miss out?? 

Fortunately for our markets, in spite of the spending that the US government is expected to carry out in the near future and the current deficit, rates have continued down (i.e., demand is strong) as investors sell other assets around the world and put their cash into U.S. securities. As noted last week, some of the short term instruments are paying near 0%, and therefore investors are only receiving back their capital. This morning finds the 10-yr yield at 2.53% and 30-yr mortgage prices worse by roughly .125.

To see how much this could really help you click here and tell me your scenario. 

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1 minute of your time could save you thousands


Posted by Ed Bilot on December 16th, 2008 10:52 AMPost a Comment (0)

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The Sky's Not Falling but Rates are at 5%
December 30th, 2008 11:50 AM

Yesterday’s problems in the Middle East not only caused oil prices to rise, but a flight to quality in US Treasuries. Unfortunately mortgage rates didn’t tag along for the ride, and buyers backed off their prices during the day. On today's economic agenda, October's composite home price index is expected to decline -17.9%, a new record low, due to the inventory of homes and weak economic conditions. The Chicago PMI is expected to decline -0.8 points to 33.0, far below the neutral level of 50. We also have Consumer Confidence, expected at 45.7. Ahead of all of that, the 10-yr yield is around 2.16% and mortgage prices are worse by .125-.250 versus yesterday afternoon.

That's right you can lock a 30 year fixed rate mortgage in today at 5%, with good credit, based on 80% Loan to Value or less on your primary residence.

With mortgage rates dropping, is it time to refinance?

Since early December when rates dropped to 4.5% for 36 hours, the major players in the banking industry have been digging their way out of the massive piles of files that need to be closed by the end of the month. After the first of the year when their work flow begins to level out you need to be already and prepared because one again rates will fall to at least 4.5% and it's then you should lock that rate and have your mortgage person send in your file to be underwritten and closed. Many mortgage professionals are beginning to load their pipelines with customers wanting to take advantage of this opportunity. I can't over emphasize that you need to start the process now or miss out!

Don't let this happen to you take care of any issues before hand.

'using excuses' to refuse mortgages as credit crisis deepens 


Posted by Ed Bilot on December 30th, 2008 11:50 AMPost a Comment (0)

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Mortgage applications hit 5-year high
December 29th, 2008 7:07 AM

WASHINGTON – Mortgage applications spiked the week of Dec. 15 to their highest level in more than five years, as borrowers took advantage of rates that fell to near-record lows after the government pledged to funnel money into the mortgage market.

While some borrowers around the country are taking advantage of historically low rates to refinance their loans, others will miss the window because they don't believe it. The opportunity isn’t available to borrowers with poor credit or little equity in their homes, and foreclosures are still likely to surge.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday its application index surged 48 percent in the week ended Dec. 19 to 1245.5, the highest level since July 2003, when refinancing activity boomed at the peak of the housing market. More than 80 percent of applications came from borrowers looking to refinance into loans with more affordable rates, the trade group said.

Interest rates plunged last month after the Federal Reserve said it would spend up to $600 billion buying mortgage-backed securities and other debt issued by government-controlled mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Refinance volume grew nearly 63 percent, while purchase volume rose by nearly 18 percent.

The average rate for traditional, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 5.04 percent from 5.18 percent a week earlier, according to the MBA report. That was the lowest point in the weekly survey since rates fell to 4.99 percent in June 2003. Predictions are that rates will bottom out at 4.5% in January,09.

What's the moral to this story?

Call now to lock in the best rate you will ever see!  719-262-9070


Posted by Ed Bilot on December 29th, 2008 7:07 AMPost a Comment (0)

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3 - 4.5% 30 year fixed rate - History in the Making
December 11th, 2008 4:27 PM

Well dismal news has been around us for a long time and frankly everyone is pretty scared right now.  I would like to be one of the first to share with you that

GOOD NEWS IS ON THE WAY!!!!!

The problem we're having right now is that money is not moving around, people are losing their jobs and the stock market is in the tank.  It is finally being realized that the way to get the money moving again is by giving the citizens an opportunity to save thousand of dollars on their mortgages. Thus giving folk the stimulation and incentive to start buying and hiring again.  

SO GET READY, for this history making event!  There is going to be a window of opportunity within the near future where you will see 30 fixed interest rate down as low as 4.5% and maybe as low as 3%

WOULD THAT SAVE YOU A LOT OF MONEY?

YOU BET!

 The window of opportunity may only last 4 - 8 weeks and every body and there mother will be lined up to take advantage of this opportunity.  The financial community will be overwhelmed with applications and many people just won't be able to be helped. Folks like you and your neighbor will be lined up taking numbers to get your home refinanced into the lower rate.  THIS IS NO JOKE, so get your number early!  Because of such a narrow window and the time it take to process your loan CS financial Services will only be taking 100 applications, 5000 of you are getting this blog - don't wait!

Respond to this e-mail csfs@comcast.net saying that you are interested and you will be assigned a number to be assisted.  We will update the people that sign up as to when we expect that immediate action will be necessary.  

NOW IN THE MEANTIME

I love it when folks think that the US Government sets our mortgage rates, and not the supply & demand in the markets. It would sure make life easier for everyone in the business, especially secondary marketing (the people that buy loans) & pricing folks.

We did have some potentially market moving news out this morning. The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits hit a 26-year high, with Jobless Claims +58,000 to 573,000. That was the highest print since November 1982, when 612,000 workers submitted new claims for unemployment benefits. The four-week moving average of new jobless claims rose to 540,500 from 526,250 the prior week, the highest since Dec. 18, 1982 when a reading of 554,500 was recorded. Also, the U.S. trade deficit widened unexpectedly by 1.1% to $57.2 billion in October as imports from China rose to a new record and oil imports rebounded as prices fell by a record amount. After the news the 10-yr seems content at 2.65%, and mortgages are roughly unchanged.

The FOMC meets next week. So what, you ask? They are expected to make another overnight rate cut. Keep in mind that the Fed’s mandate is to promote “maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates”. Easy as pie. Its primary tool to do this is the use of “open market operations”, which are the purchases or sales of Treasury and agency securities in the open market. Open market operations alter the size of the Fed’s balance sheet, since it can make purchases with its own IOUs, rather than by selling other assets or borrowing funds from some other institution. From a bank’s point of view, suddenly the Fed owes them, and it increases their assets. The Fed’s purchase of Treasury securities increases the supply of reserves in the banking system. Normally a bank will use at least some of the reserves to make new loans, crediting the loan recipient’s deposit account in the process. Recently, however, the Fed has increased reserves and the monetary base dramatically, but broader measures of the money stock have moved much less due to banks (and companies & individuals) being cautious. Most think of the FOMC changing the overnight Fed Funds rate: an increased supply of reserves in the system will tend to decrease short-term interest rates via its effect on the federal funds rate.  Fed Funds is the rate at which banks lend balances held at the Fed to one another as one bank, finding itself short of required reserves (due to withdrawals) borrows from another that has too many. Interestingly, direct bank-to-bank lending occurs at a higher rate, with the most common reference rate being the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR).


Posted by Ed Bilot on December 11th, 2008 4:27 PMPost a Comment (0)

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